Matches with 10 or more shots on target between both teams. It tracks how much both sides create, and moves less on luck than goals do.
10 matches· likeliest first · Season (home · away) = how often it happened in each team's games this season · prices appear in the last 72 hours before kickoff
Real Madrid
CF Villarreal64%Fair 1.56Season 5/7·3/7
Barcelona
Getafe60%Fair 1.66Season 6/7·3/7
Betis
Osasuna47%Fair 2.13Season 6/7·2/7
Real Sociedad
Deportivo La Coruna42%Fair 2.36Season 5/7·1/7
Racing Santander
CF Valencia41%Fair 2.44Season 6/7·2/7
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Bilbao39%Fair 2.53Season 3/7·2/6
Alavés
Atlético Madrid38%Fair 2.61Season 3/7·4/7
Levante
Sevilla31%Fair 3.23Season 2/6·3/7
Elche
Celta Vigo31%Fair 3.24Season 3/7·1/7
Malaga
Espanyol31%Fair 3.26Season 1/7·3/7How to read it: 64% means that in 100 matches like this one, it happens about 64 times. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. How we predict →
18+· Statistical analysis. We don't accept bets. Probabilities describe how often an outcome happens in matches like this one; they are not a promise about any single match. How we predict · Responsible gambling
