Matches with 9 or more shots on target between both teams. It tracks how much both sides create, and moves less on luck than goals do.
10 matches· likeliest first · Season (home · away) = how often it happened in each team's games this season · prices appear in the last 72 hours before kickoff
Real Madrid
CF Villarreal75%Fair 1.34Season 6/7·3/7
Barcelona
Getafe72%Fair 1.40Season 7/7·3/7
Betis
Osasuna60%Fair 1.68Season 6/7·2/7
Real Sociedad
Deportivo La Coruna55%Fair 1.82Season 5/7·3/7
Racing Santander
CF Valencia54%Fair 1.86Season 6/7·2/7
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Bilbao52%Fair 1.91Season 3/7·4/6
Alavés
Atlético Madrid51%Fair 1.96Season 3/7·5/7
Levante
Sevilla43%Fair 2.31Season 2/6·4/7
Elche
Celta Vigo43%Fair 2.32Season 5/7·2/7
Malaga
Espanyol43%Fair 2.33Season 2/7·3/7How to read it: 75% means that in 100 matches like this one, it happens about 75 times. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. How we predict →
18+· Statistical analysis. We don't accept bets. Probabilities describe how often an outcome happens in matches like this one; they are not a promise about any single match. How we predict · Responsible gambling
