Matches with three or more goals in total — the most common goals line. Close to a coin flip in an average league game, so the spread between matches is what matters.
10 matches· likeliest first · Season (home · away) = how often it happened in each team's games this season
Barcelona
Getafe79%Fair 1.27Best 1.21Season 6/7·1/7
Real Madrid
CF Villarreal73%Fair 1.37Best 1.30Season 6/7·6/7
Betis
Osasuna55%Fair 1.83Best 1.81Season 2/7·3/7
Racing Santander
CF Valencia55%Fair 1.83Best 1.81Season 6/7·3/7
Real Sociedad
Deportivo La Coruna53%Fair 1.88Best 1.87Season 5/7·2/7
Alavés
Atlético Madrid52%Fair 1.93Best 1.91Season 3/7·6/7
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Bilbao51%Fair 1.97Best 1.95Season 5/7·2/6
Malaga
Espanyol46%Fair 2.16Best 2.11Season 2/7·5/7
Elche
Celta Vigo45%Fair 2.21Best 2.12Season 5/7·2/7
Levante
Sevilla45%Fair 2.21Best 2.15Season 4/6·4/7How to read it: 79% means that in 100 matches like this one, it happens about 79 times. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. How we predict →
18+· Statistical analysis. We don't accept bets. Probabilities describe how often an outcome happens in matches like this one; they are not a promise about any single match. How we predict · Responsible gambling
