LineupsRadar

Lineups

Real Madrid win73%

🇪🇸LaLiga

Real Madrid4-2-3-1

Expectedvs19:00 UTCEstadio Santiago Bernabéu

CF Villarreal4-4-2

PredictionBetaUpdated 8d ago

Most likely result

Real Madrid win

73%

Real Madrid

73%

Fair 1.37 · Best 1.32

Draw

17%

Fair 5.78 · Best 6.50

CF Villarreal

10%

Fair 10.13 · Best 9.85

Key picks

83%
Pick of the day· Result
Double chance: no draw
Min odds 1.21H2H 7/10
7/75/7
81%
Goals
1st half over 0.5 goals
Min odds 1.23H2H 5/10
5/76/7
75%
Shots on target
Over 8.5 shots on target
Min odds 1.34H2H 5/10
6/73/7
83%
Cards
Under 5.5 cards
Min odds 1.21H2H 7/10
2/73/7
77%
Corners
Real Madrid over 4.5 corners
Min odds 1.30H2H 5/10
5/73/7

Stand-out facts

7/7
CF Villarreal
Conceded in 7 of 7
6/7
Real Madrid
Scored in 6 of 7
6/7
Real Madrid
Conceded in 6 of 7
6/7
Real Madrid
Over 2.5 goals in 6 of 7
6/7
CF Villarreal
Scored in 6 of 7
6/7
CF Villarreal
Over 2.5 goals in 6 of 7

Standings

20 teams

1EuropeRelegation20

Real Madrid

4th

15pts

5W 0D 2LGoals 18–8 · 2.14 pts/game

Last 5WLWWL

CF Villarreal

9th

8pts

2W 2D 3LGoals 13–12 · 1.14 pts/game

Last 5LLLWW

Current form

Real MadridWLWWL7 games this season

30.08.26

MAL (H)4–0xG3.4–0.8Corners9–6Cards0–2 04.09.26

BET (A)0–1xG3.4–0.9Corners10–6Cards3–3 12.09.26

RAY (H)4–1xG3.1–1.2Corners11–5Cards0–1 15.09.26

ELC (A)3–2xG3.5–1.1Corners5–2Cards2–4 20.09.26

ATL (A)1–2xG0.4–2.4Corners1–3Cards3–3

CF VillarrealLLLWW7 games this season

28.08.26

ALA (A)0–1xG1.5–0.9Corners9–5Cards2–4 05.09.26

COR (H)2–3xG3.6–2.4Corners7–1Cards2–2 14.09.26

BET (H)1–2xG1.7–4.1Corners7–4Cards1–0 17.09.26

MAL (A)3–1xG4.2–0.4Corners8–4Cards1–5 20.09.26

LEV (H)3–1xG4.3–0.9Corners7–1Cards1–1

Team DNA

Real Madrid

CF Villarreal

2.6Goals scoredleague avg 1.51.9
2nd of 204th of 20
2.8xGleague avg 1.62.8
2nd of 203rd of 20
7.6Shots on targetleague avg 4.76.6
2nd of 203rd of 20
1.1Goals concededleague avg 1.51.7
8th of 2012th of 20
1.1xG againstleague avg 1.61.6
2nd of 2011th of 20
6.9Corners wonleague avg 4.87.3
4th of 202nd of 20
4.1Corners concededleague avg 4.83.7
6th of 204th of 20
8.4Fouls committedleague avg 12.310.7
fewest in league7th fewest
14.3Fouls sufferedleague avg 12.312.9
2nd most9th most
1.6Yellow cardsleague avg 2.11.9
6th fewest7th fewest

1Red cardsthis season, in total0

Referee

Not appointed yet. The referee usually appears a few days before kickoff.

Head to head

last 10 league meetings

Real Madrid

wins

draws

CF Villarreal

wins

Over 2.5

6/10

Both scored

6/10

Avg goals

3.2

When goals happen

this season · by minute

Real Madrid7 games

Scores most 76–90′ · 6Concedes most 46–60′ · 3

1–15′

16–30′

31–45′

46–60′

61–75′

76–90′

1st half

10–2

scored – conceded

2nd half

8–6

scored – conceded

CF Villarreal7 games

Scores most 31–45′ · 5Concedes most 31–45′ · 6

1–15′

16–30′

31–45′

46–60′

61–75′

76–90′

1st half

7–8

scored – conceded

2nd half

6–4

scored – conceded

Availability

Expected XI ✓ →

Real Madrid7

OutKylian Mbappe100% min
Knee injury · 9 G+A
OutÉder Militão
Thigh injury
OutRaúl Asencio
Leg injury
OutRodrygo
Cruciate ligament injury
SuspendedDean Donny Huijsen80% min
Red card · 0 G+A
QuestionableFederico Valverde90% min
Sprained ankle · 1 G+A · not in the expected XI
QuestionableIbrahima Konaté86% min
Ligament injury · 0 G+A · not in the expected XI

CF Villarreal2

OutSanti Comesaña57% min
Ankle injury · 0 G+A
QuestionableJuan Foyth43% min
Physical discomfort · 0 G+A · not in the expected XI

Absences aren't part of the model yet: the prediction is the same with or without them.

All markets54

Cards Total · over 2.570%1.43
Cards Total · over 3.549%2.02
Cards Total · over 4.531%3.22
Cards Total · over 5.517%5.74
Cards Total · over 6.59%11.32
Corners CF Villarreal · over 3.542%2.37
Corners CF Villarreal · over 4.526%3.83
Corners CF Villarreal · over 5.515%6.72
Corners Real Madrid · over 3.587%1.15
Corners Real Madrid · over 4.577%1.30
Corners Real Madrid · over 5.565%1.53
Corners Total · over 10.546%2.16
Corners Total · over 11.535%2.82
Corners Total · over 8.569%1.44
Corners Total · over 9.558%1.73
Fouls CF Villarreal · over 11.553%1.87
Fouls CF Villarreal · over 12.542%2.36
Fouls CF Villarreal · over 9.575%1.33
Fouls Real Madrid · over 11.524%4.14
Fouls Real Madrid · over 12.516%6.30
Fouls Real Madrid · over 9.547%2.13
Fouls Total · over 20.556%1.79
Fouls Total · over 22.539%2.54
Fouls Total · over 24.525%3.97
Goals 1st half · over 0.581%1.23
Goals 1st half · over 1.550%2.01
Goals Result · CF Villarreal10%10.13
Goals Result · draw17%5.78
Goals Result · Real Madrid73%1.37
Goals 2nd half · over 0.588%1.14
Goals 2nd half · over 1.562%1.60
Goals CF Villarreal · over 0.565%1.54
Goals CF Villarreal · over 1.528%3.53
Goals CF Villarreal · over 2.59%11.10
Goals Both score · yes61%1.63
Goals Real Madrid · over 0.594%1.07
Goals Real Madrid · over 1.576%1.32
Goals Real Madrid · over 2.552%1.94
Goals Half-time · draw31%3.24
Goals Half-time · Real Madrid55%1.82
Goals Total · over 1.590%1.12
Goals Total · over 2.573%1.37
Goals Total · over 3.552%1.91
Goals Total · under 2.527%3.72
Shots on target CF Villarreal · over 2.566%1.52
Shots on target CF Villarreal · over 3.545%2.24
Shots on target CF Villarreal · over 4.527%3.74
Shots on target Real Madrid · over 2.597%1.03
Shots on target Real Madrid · over 3.592%1.08
Shots on target Real Madrid · over 4.584%1.19
Shots on target Total · over 6.591%1.10
Shots on target Total · over 7.584%1.19
Shots on target Total · over 8.575%1.34
Shots on target Total · over 9.564%1.56

18+ · Statistical analysis. We don't accept bets.